MSFT closed ~424. it had no surpises during its earnings release, other than adding that its AI CapEx will be increased to $190 B, a jump of $25 B m confident that MSFT will close above 400, by the end of trading hours on Fri, 1 May. If so, the above credit spread i sold will expired worthless, and i get to keep all the premium
COST has been consolidating in the 950 -1,050 range for ~ 3 months; next earnings will be May 27. gonna participate in this earnings run. Today, when COST was trading ~ 1,005, sold this 30-point bullish PUT spread, using the 5-22 expiration day buy to open the 1,010 strike PUT contract sell to open the 1,040 strike PUT contract collected a premium of $15.85 , defining my max risk of $14.15 my bet is that COST will trade above $1,040 by market closing on 5-22; if so, i get to keep all the premium this doubles my bet on COST, previously made on 7 Apr, when i was collecting a premium of $14.50
on 1 May, AAPL closed ~~280---rendering the 250/275 PUT spread i sold worthless---i get to keep the $15 premium
found a most under-priced stock, FileServ, currently trading ~ $62, a profitable key player in the global merchant digital payment space. in Mar 2025, FileServ was trading ~~~$283 in the Nov 2025 earnings call, new mgmt team disclosed that previous mgmt had been overly optimistic with the financial guidance. the stock price dropped ~ 60% in one day, the second gap-down in a 4-months period. over the past 6 months, it has been consolidating in the 50 - 70 range. decide to make 2 plays on this "island reversal" candidate, FISV, using Jan 2028 expiration date. Sell a 40-point bullish PUT spread buy to open 75 strike PUT sell to open 115 strike PUT collected a premium of $33.1, which defines my max risk to be $6.9 purchase this bullish 30-point CALL spread, financed by the above premium collected buy to open 90 strike CALL sell to open 120 strike CALL at a net cost of $4.05 my price target for FISV, at Jan 2028 expiration, is ~ $130, closing the most recent gap-down if so, the bullish PUT spread will expire worthless, i get to keep all the premium collected. the bullish CALL spread will be $10 in-the-money, which should yield a profit of at least $4 should things work out as planned, at Jan 2028 expiration, i'll be up at least $37.1 (33.1 + 4) per share of FileServ stock, without taking any money out of my pocket in the US options market, each options contract controls 100 shares of the underlying stock.
that's how I am gonna answer anything from now on. How are you gonna pay for the GT3RS? me: half stock, half cash.
i know what i don't know. don't know much about pltr. lots of their defense contract are highly classified. i know that pltr is involved w the ICE raids. pltr missed the earning estimate, couple of days ago according to the charts, https://finviz.com/quote?t=PLTR&ty=c&ta=1&p=d, pltr has hit double bottom ~~ 130 using this chart, look for another red doji that looks like "+', followed by a green candlestick with a body just to confirm the bottom, doji suggests hesitation, where the opening price approximates the closing price in pltr's case, if the the doji is follow by a green candle (with a fat body), it suggests a trend reversal. i am an amateur, so take it with a grain of salt!
I'm not buying any more f-ing Palantir. Due to its lofty valuation, it requires perfect earnings reports. Otherwise, it's just flapping in the f-ing wind!
Please APLD pull back. I nurtured you at $5 and now you wanna leave me because I did a measly covered call.
PLTR outran its earnings for the next bazillion years. Great if you got in at low prices but now...it's gonna be all "priced in".
IGV software ETF is now bullish. You couldn’t sell it fast enough a few weeks ago. So, I bought those down stocks like MSFT, CRM, NOW, and IGV at their lows. Looking pretty good now. That whole SaaS subscription-based model panic seemed like an excuse to drive the sector down. They are going to figure it out. So paranoid about FOMO on memory that I had to buy some DRAM memory ETF as these companies are taking off on the supply constraint issues and demand. Sold Google stake too early to take profits. Need a new lower entry point. Keep an eye out for which company CEOs Trump is taking to China for his talks with Xi. The Boeing CEO has been asked. It makes sense that he would ask Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang to go to discuss AI chip sales. That could mean more upside to Nvidia if he goes.
