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2026 Midterms

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by The Captain, Nov 13, 2025.

  1. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    O’Rourke never polled ahead of Cruz outside the margin of error and, except for a few outliers, was always consistently trailing by a few % points.

    Talarico
    +43 Moderate
    +32 Latino
    +22 Independent

    ~10% undecided

    Talarico leads both Cornyn, Paxton in new Texas Senate polls

    A poll conducted by Texas Public Opinion Research from April 17 to 20 and published Tuesday found Talarico leading Sen. John Cornyn by three percentage points, 44% to 41%. The Austin Democrat leads Attorney General Ken Paxton by a margin of five percentage points, 46% to 41%. Both results fell within the margin of error of +/-2.5 percentage points. The survey included 1,865 likely general election voters. TPOR is a nonpartisan public opinion research group directed by Democratic strategist Luke Warford.

    In a separate poll, the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin found Talarico ahead of Cornyn by seven points, 40% to 33%, and of Paxton by 8 points, 42% to 34%. The Texas Politics Project surveyed 1,200 registered voters from April 10 to 20 and produced a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.
     
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  2. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

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    Massive win for democracy.



    GOOD DAY
     
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  3. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    Yeah... I don't believe that.
     
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  4. astros123

    astros123 Member
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    Maybe but it's not just one poll. The LT governor said texas republicans are headed to a loss in the state legislature this fall for first time in decades.

     
  5. Commodore

    Commodore Member

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    no more racist majority-minority districts

     
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  6. No Worries

    No Worries Wensleydale Only Fan
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    Back to straight up racist majority districts.
     
  7. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    Majority-minority districts were a band-aid for the worst abuses of gerrymandering, which itself is an abomination on our democracy. I'm not terribly happy about letting Republicans disenfranchise minorities across the South again. But, maybe the coming injustices can be the catalyst for a better solution to gerrymandering in all its forms.
     
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  8. Reeko

    Reeko Member

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    lol, keep dreaming…

    they will dilute the black vote and gain up to 12 seats in the south, and that will be the end of that

    they are rolling back every single piece of civil rights legislation
     
  9. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

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    Yup…


    GOOD DAY
     
  10. Buck Turgidson

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    I have no idea what planet you live on.

    Good Luck!
     
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  11. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    Juan's taking some heat, but there's something here though. Back in the late 20th Century, Repubs would gerrymander minority-majority districts so that they would have the advantage overall. In the South, this was often implicitly supported among Black politicians because it gave them a greater chance to win office even if it meant fewer Dem seats. Now, if Repubs try to eliminate minority districts all together, those votes still have to go somewhere, and that will end up making more swing districts.

    The SC decision sucks and their reasoning is horrible, but I think it's a good bet that Repubs finally caught the car without thinking through all the possible outcomes.
     
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  12. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    I get that and you'll be proven right while we live. I'm sure the House will get more white over the next 10 years. But I've been feeling a little zen, a little the-things-of-this-world-will-pass-away. There's a liberal idea that the arc of history bends toward justice, which I think is bullshit. But neither is it a sucking whirlpool to the bottom. If it was, we wouldn't have these edifices of liberal democracy to destroy in the first place. Sometimes things get worse and sometimes they get better. We seem to be in a down cycle at the moment. But sometimes we do some cool **** like create a functioning democracy, defining civil rights, abolishing slavery, expanding the voting franchise. It isn't out of the realm of possibility that we can craft a House of Representatives that isn't captive to gerrymandering.

    But, the path there can be messy and sometimes the legacy structures are in the way of building something better. A law requiring a recognition of the need to have racial representation is very important in our history of grappling with racial reconciliation, but it isn't a very elegant solution. In my office life, it is like exporting a table from the enterprise software to a spreadsheet to do some manual work before pasting it back in because the enterprise software's design can't handle one of the steps. The software of picking House members should be automatically accounting for the need of racial representation along with all other representation needs. I'd rather get the software programming to obviate the need for the spreadsheet, but when someone goes and deletes the spreadsheet altogether, it makes the need for the programming much more obvious and urgent. Don't build the spreadsheet again. Do the programming in the enterprise software.
     
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  13. Rocket River

    Rocket River Member
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    So it begins . . .the great destruction and cheating

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/29/louisiana-house-primaries-suspend-jeff-landry/
    Louisiana governor prepares to suspend House primaries after court ruling

    Gov. Jeff Landry (R) told Republican House candidates he plans to suspend the May 16 primary elections so lawmakers can redraw the congressional map.

    Updated
    April 30, 2026 at 10:18 a.m. EDTtoday at 10:18 a.m. EDT
    Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry. (Salwan Georges/The Washington Post)
    By Dan Merica
    and
    Patrick Marley
    Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry (R) told Republican House candidates Wednesday that he plans to suspend next month’s primary elections so state lawmakers can pass a new congressional map first, according to two people with knowledge of the calls.

    The move follows a Supreme Court decision earlier in the day that found Louisiana had unlawfully discriminated by race when it created a second majority-Black congressional district under legal pressure. A new Louisiana map would position Republicans to gain one or two seats in the midterms as they fight to hold their narrow majority in the House.



    Rocket River
    The republicans must win at all cost
    If they cannot win . .. change the rules
    If they still cannot win . . . . Cheat
    If they still cannot win . . .. Change the meaning of winning
     
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  14. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    I just don't trust polls anymore. People need to show the **** up and vote.
     
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  15. Rocket River

    Rocket River Member
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  16. Rocket River

    Rocket River Member
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    The celebration of WHITES ONLY REPRESENTATION

    Rocket River
     
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  17. basso

    basso Member
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  18. Tomstro

    Tomstro Member

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    We are all Americans. Why are you so concerned with skin color?
     
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  19. ThatBoyNick

    ThatBoyNick Member

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    [​IMG]
     
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