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Rockets Legend Jalen Green, currently at -25

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by WoodDavidWood, Feb 24, 2026.

  1. clos4life

    clos4life Member

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    Let's do a real 15 game comparison using AI rather than randomly picked game stretches. Let's just ask AI to do it for us.

    During his last 15 games of the 2025–26 NBA season,
    Alperen Şengün
    has maintained a True Shooting Percentage (TS%) of 64.1%. This efficiency is significantly higher than his overall season average of 57.2%.

    Last 15 Games: Comprehensive Stats
    Over this stretch, Şengün has averaged 21.9 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 5.7 assists.

    Category Value Details / Standout Game
    Points 21.9 Season-high 39 points vs. Pacers (Feb 3)
    Rebounds 8.3 Logged 13 rebounds in multiple games
    Assists 5.7 Four games with 10 assists in this span
    Steals 0.9 3 steals in the win over New Orleans (Mar 29)
    Blocks 1.1 4 blocks against Minnesota (Mar 25)
    Turnover Rate 3.1 Averaged 3.1 turnovers per game (46 total)
    TS% 64.1% Highlighted by 84.2% FG vs. Chicago (Mar 23)

    Performance Trends
    • Playmaking Growth: His assist numbers have spiked, recording 10 assists in four of his last ten games (vs. Lakers, Hawks, Knicks, and Bulls).
    • Efficiency Surge: His 64.1% TS% over these 15 games is a sharp increase from his 54.5% TS% during the previous 2024–25 season.
    • Defensive Consistency: He remains a reliable rim protector, averaging over one block per game and peaking with a 3-steal, 3-block performance on March 29.
    Let's compare to the last 15 games of Jalen Green, whom I wish nothing but the best over there in Phoenix.




    In his last 15 games during the 2025–26 NBA season,
    Jalen Green
    has averaged 19.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 3.9 assists. His play has been a rollercoaster of efficiency, featuring high-scoring outputs like a 31-point game against Utah alongside colder shooting nights.

    Category Value Details / Standout Game
    Points 19.7 Hit 31 points vs. Utah (Mar 28)
    Rebounds 4.7 Season-high 8 rebounds vs. SAS and POR
    Assists 3.9 Logged 7 assists vs. CHA (Apr 2) and TOR (Mar 22)
    Steals 1.1 Recorded 2 steals in 5 of his last 15 games
    Blocks 0.3 1 block in games vs. CHA, TOR, MIN, and POR
    Turnovers 2.0 Averaged 2.0 per game (low of 0 TOV vs. Utah)
    TS% 53.8% Highlighted by 70.5% TS% vs. Utah (Mar 28)

    • True Shooting Percentage (TS%): Over this 15-game span, Green holds a 53.8% TS%. This reflects high variance, peaking at 70.5% TS% against Utah but dipping significantly during shooting slumps like the April 1 game in Orlando.
    • Turnover Rate: He is currently averaging 2.1 turnovers per game for the season. In this recent stretch, his ball-handling has remained relatively stable at 2.0 turnovers per game, despite a heavy offensive load.
    • Defensive Contributions: Green has been more active defensively of late, averaging 1.1 steals and occasionally contributing as a secondary shot-blocker.




    In other words, Sengun has been the better player over the last 15 games, including both having a 2-to-1 assist to turnover ratio. And dare we do an entire season comparison?

    2025–26 Season Comparison

    Category Alperen Şengün (HOU) Jalen Green (PHX)
    Points Per Game 20.6 18.2
    Rebounds Per Game 8.9 3.7
    Assists Per Game 6.2 3.0
    Steals Per Game 1.2 1.1
    Blocks Per Game 1.1 0.1
    Turnovers Per Game 3.1 2.2
    Field Goal % 52.2% 42.1%
    True Shooting % 57.2% 51.8%
    Games Played 68 29
    [Sources: StatMuse Şengün, StatMuse Green, NBA.com]

    Key Statistical Takeaways
    • Offensive Engine vs. Scoring Specialist: Şengün has established himself as a primary playmaker from the center position, leading Green in scoring, rebounding, and significantly in assists (6.2 to 3.0).
    • Efficiency Gap: Şengün remains the more efficient scorer with a 57.2% TS%, while Green’s efficiency has dipped to 51.8% as he adjusts to his new role in Phoenix.
    • Defensive Production: While both average over 1 steal per game, Şengün provides elite rim protection for his size with 1.1 blocks per game, compared to Green's 0.1.

    At this point, Jalen Green wishes he could be as good as Alperen Sengun, and Michael Jordan is insulted that they would compare Zach Lavine's twin to him lol
     
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  2. hlmbasketball

    hlmbasketball Member

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    No.matter what you present or do, the NAYSAYERS are going to disagree. The numbers and statics do not tell the whole story.

    It does not taje into account the VARIABLES. ....Jalen was injured and out for several months and that Alpi was hurt and out two games. It does not take into account which team has played the most road vs home games or difficulty of schedule, it does not take into account which team has played with their starting unit.

    From an EYE TEST, it appears as though Sengun is having a better season but there are many variables that has to be taken into account.
     
  3. jogo

    jogo Member

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    Sengun was inefficient but he definitely wasn't soft. He's the reason we won three games in that series and not one. And he didn't get punked by Draymond. That's a narrative created by JOFs.

    26/9/1/3
    17/16/7/2
    15/11/4/0
    31/10/5/2
    15/9/9/2
    21/14/6/3
    21/14/5/1

    Sengun improved on his season averages in points, rebounds, assists, steals, TOs, PFs, and Ast/TOs. That's not someone who's shrinking from the moment. He stepped up.

    If those numbers were for any player other than Sengun, the Sengun haters would have to admit they were great. But because they're anti-Sengun somehow they become "soft."

    Anyone who watched that series knows that Draymond and GSW were allowed to foul Alperen with impunity. Do you really think Sengun deserved only 5 or fewer foul shots in four of those games? That's the Draymond effect, he fouls and the NBA ignores. Also impacts TS%.

    Since you brought up TS%...

    Jalen Green TS% this season: 51.8%
    Alperen Segun TS% this season: 57.2%
    (You already know this, too.)
     
  4. vince

    vince Member

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    Mobley should have been the pick over Green.

    I heard that Mobley did not want to come to the Rockets because of Kevin Porter Jr and his legitimate crazy mentality, reference point USC. Mobley even refused to practice for a Houston prior to the draft.

    Green looked like an athletic superstar freak. He does stuff on the basketball court that are eye gawking. But he proved in his first two season that he came to the NBA as an almost finished product. His improvement has been minimal, and although he has had some sensational performances, he levels up with equally horrific outings.

    Ime got him to buy into defense, but that wore him down that he became a liability on offense. Mind you that Jalen Green is supposed to be an offensive wizard. Although his defense became commendable under Ime, his offense became lamentable.

    With Amen making strides, the improvement of Sheppard in practice, with continued excellence, the Rockets although still hopeful for Green knew that Green wasn’t going to be an irreplaceable component. So when the chance to land Durant came up, the shipped Green off.

    I’m not going to disparage J Green, dude is an amazing player who I hoped would have turned the corner here in Houston and became an Ant Edwards type star. But Green keeps getting older, and potential soon turns to aging veteran in the NBA.

    Jalen Green isn’t but a year or two from being described as an aging veteran himself. Solid NBA player, a cog in the engine of a team, but far from the focal point of any meaningful impactful focal point.
     
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  5. Dobbizzle

    Dobbizzle Member

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    Whilst I agree Mobley should've been the pick, we'd be a much worse team if he had. No KD, and we'd already have 1 player on a max contract who isn't worth the money, whilst looking to probably make the same mistake a second time with Amen. 2 Max player 3rd options, yeah that's a plan!
     
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  6. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    True, but Mobley might not have gotten a max contract in Houston. He might be less developed in two years under Silas.

    I used to think that picking Green was a blessing in disguise even though Mobley is the better player. If we had Mobley, we might not have traded up to get Sengun. Now I see it differently. I am still a Sengun fan. But Mobley might have been a better fit. He is not a dynamic creator like Sengun. But he is a better interior defender and does not clog the paint as much. He would probably fit better with a back court of Amen and Reed.
     
  7. Dobbizzle

    Dobbizzle Member

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    He absolutely would have got the max contract, he won DPOY. So we'd be stuck with 2 very limited on offense supreme defenders. Ime's wet dream tbh I guess, I doubt Reed would even get playing time. ****, we'd probably have drafted Castle instead and just run a bunch of defenders and athletes with no real skill on offense between them.
     
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  8. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    Picking the draft bust helped in the end, because it caused the team to tank for several more seasons in order to get better players. So while Mobley is obviously better than Jalen...like most player in the NBA are better than Jalen...picking the better player might have hurt the long term trajectory of the team because it would end tanking too soon.
     
  9. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    I don't think Amen is going to get a max unless his offense takes a big leap next season. The Rockets aren't as generous as the Cavs. Say what you want about Stone (and I'm not a fan), he's been doing okay with team friendly contracts with the young players so far. Jalen's contract might be a little over priced, but that's his market at that time. Mobley's offense did not improve until his 4th season, after the contract extension. I doubt that he would command a max if he was in Houston.
     
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  10. Dobbizzle

    Dobbizzle Member

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    I do hope you're right on Amen, in the current CBA giving a player that limited a max will be basically giving up competition til his contract's done. I dunno on Mobley though, I genuinely think no matter where he was he would've got that bag and then not become the star he was supposed to be.
     
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  11. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    Agreed, he'd have to improve A LOT to be worth a max....but if that happens that will be awesome.

    When it comes to Jalen and Mobley, they both got paid based on the scenario they were in.

    Mobley got paid more because he was viewed as the franchise player...something he really wasn't. So he was overpaid.

    Jalen was also overpaid, but for a different reason. Jalen got overpaid due to how good Sengun was. Since Sengun was picked after Jalen, they had to give Jalen basically the same deal. So Sengun got underpaid, and Jalen got overpaid despite being a draft bust.

    Put Mobley in Houston, and I think both he and Sengun get basically the same deal, slightly more than what Sengun actually got.
     
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  12. AlperenSengun

    AlperenSengun Member

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    Stone wouldn't offer Mobley the max even if he was the dpoy and he certainly wouldn't be under Silas with no-perimeter defense and wouldn't improve that much anyway.

    Amen, although not worth a max deal, will find teams offering him that with the hopes that he will be in a couple years. Those teams don't have better way to spend their money anyway and for a lot of them this is a good bet. I am guessing that we'll pay Amen max or near max, if we want to keep him.

    I think Stone's worse contracts are the mid-lower ones: Jabari, DFS, KPJ, even Capela and Adams are questionable.
     
  13. Hemingway

    Hemingway Member
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    Contracts are about supply and demand and the financial position of the team. With young players potential plays a huge part since you are signing players for their play in the future. There is no getting out of trying to predict that play. Amen will get the max, because he clearly has the greatest potential on this team and has already demonstrated DPOY capability along with increasingly impressive offensive play. If he can get Amen to sign for less than the max, I will salute him and be happy for the team, but I’d say it is very doubtful he can pull it off.
     
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  14. StrawberryJamm

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    Lowkey Jalen is on a weird path to becoming a pretty decent 3rd/4th option 3 and D role player.

    After he was complete ass on ball in the GSW series, he routinely stayed in the game because he was spacing the floor, drawing a good defender, and staying in front of his guy. He looked a lot better in the scaled back role.

    He logged 32 minutes in that series while Bari and Tari were getting 18.

    He’ll be similar to Andrew Wiggins/RJ Barrett path of failing as a young main guy but turning into a solid player in his mid 20s. The early reputation will probably linger a few years past it being relevant.

    I could see him catching up to similar production and value as Tyler Herro (26) and Austin Reaves (27) by the same age. - about 15% processing + 15% speed and defense.

    The comparison to Sengun as the lead option wasn’t going to go well and admittedly he got overpaid by about 7 million per season.

    He’ll be in the league another 8 years or so after KD retires, going to be a steady talking point. He will have his moments and anyone who thinks they’re going to end the debate once and for all with some words today on who won the trade, isn’t being realistic.
     
  15. topfive

    topfive CF OG

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    With the season 95% over, road-vs-home games is pretty close to even for all teams.

    And you forgot that one team might have a bigger Jumbotron than the other.
     
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  16. Hemingway

    Hemingway Member
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    This is really well stated. Some people become unhinged when players don’t meet their expectations quickly. Jalen is just 24 years old, it’s not his fault he was drafted 2nd or got overpaid, so why the hatred. Makes no sense.
     
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  17. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Atomic Playboy

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  18. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    It's important to remember that he's only 19.
     
  19. nomiz1987

    nomiz1987 Member

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    Being an objective observer Sengun absolutely got physically outplayed by Draymond in the playoffs, you're not showing his fga and efficiency, he was physically dominated by Draymond and he could not get into his sweet spots when Draymond was defending him. In saying that he still played MILES better than JG who completely dissapeared.

    Sengun played ok. Jalen was invisible.
     
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  20. nomiz1987

    nomiz1987 Member

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    I dont think the hate is really directed at Jalen as much as it is directed at teh JOFs who are absolutely unbearable with all the excuses they put up for him, being completely irrational, stubborn and aggresive when there are general discussions about his lack of growth.
     
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